Will the highest temperature in New York City be 47°F or below on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 47°F in NYC on March 29.

With a market probability of 99.95% for temperatures exceeding 47°F, the consensus is that it is highly unlikely to be that low. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly lower confidence, indicating a strong belief in warmer conditions for that date.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors temperatures above 47°F.
• 2 Pulse verdict aligns with market sentiment, indicating confidence in warmer weather.
• 3 AI probability suggests a slight chance for lower temperatures, but still very low.
• 4 Edge of 0.95 indicates the market is fairly priced with little room for adjustment.
• 5 Confidence level of 80/100 reflects a strong belief in the current forecast.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.