Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on March 27?

Market predicts NYC's temperature will exceed 49°F on March 27.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus that the highest temperature in New York City will be above 49°F on March 27, with a 100% probability for 'NO.' The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of temperatures being 49°F or below, suggesting confidence in warmer weather forecasts.

• 1 Market probability indicates a strong belief in warmer temperatures.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 Current weather patterns favor temperatures above 49°F.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.