Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 49°F in NYC on March 30.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% belief that the highest temperature will exceed 49°F on March 30. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a minimal chance of temperatures being 49°F or below. Given the high confidence level, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against temperatures being 49°F or below.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level suggests stability in current predictions.
• 4 No significant liquidity issues noted in this market.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.