Will the highest temperature in New York City be 54°F or higher on March 19?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 54°F in NYC on March 19.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 54°F. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of higher temperatures. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Market heavily favors temperatures below 54°F.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely matches market sentiment.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 65/100.
• 4 Edge of 0.95 suggests fair market pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is currently unknown, affecting liquidity.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.