Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on March 31?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 55°F in NYC on March 31.

With a market probability of 99.7% for temperatures exceeding 55°F, the consensus is that it is highly unlikely for the highest temperature to be 55°F or below. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a strong belief in warmer conditions. The confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in this forecast.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures at or below 55°F.
• 2 The probability edge indicates the market is fairly priced at this time.
• 3 Weather forecasts are crucial in shaping market expectations.
• 4 The time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the market dynamics.
• 5 Historical weather patterns in late March typically show warmer temperatures.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.