Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 12?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 60°F in NYC on March 12.

With a market probability of 98.35% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 60°F. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating a low likelihood of warmer weather in the next two hours.

• 1 Current market sentiment is heavily leaning towards cooler temperatures.
• 2 The confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 3 The time to expiry is short, only 2 hours, adding urgency to any potential changes.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 5 Historical weather patterns in March typically show lower temperatures in NYC.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.