Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 21?

Market predicts NYC won't reach 60°F on March 21 with high certainty.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against temperatures reaching 60°F in New York City on March 21, with a 97.2% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely, indicating a low likelihood of higher temperatures, suggesting that current forecasts support this outlook.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO'.
• 2 Weather forecasts indicate cooler temperatures.
• 3 Historical data shows similar patterns in March.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with low volatility.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.