Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 8?

High probability for NYC temperatures to reach 60°F or higher on March 8.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability that the highest temperature in New York City will be 60°F or higher on March 8. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 99%, suggesting strong consensus among participants. The edge of -0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Market sentiment strongly favors temperatures above 60°F.
• 2 High liquidity suggests confidence in the current predictions.
• 3 Historical weather data supports the likelihood of warmer temperatures in early March.
• 4 The confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the prediction.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.