Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on March 20?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 62°F in NYC on March 20.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.85% for temperatures not reaching 62°F in New York City on March 20. The low market probability for a higher temperature suggests strong consensus among participants that it will remain cooler. With only one hour until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 62°F.
• 2 The high NO probability indicates strong confidence in cooler weather.
• 3 Historical data may support a trend of lower temperatures in March.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable with minimal fluctuations.
• 5 Time pressure is a factor, with only one hour remaining until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.