Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 66°F in NYC on March 29.

With a market probability of 99.8% for NO, participants overwhelmingly expect the highest temperature to be below 66°F. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a consensus that temperatures will remain low. The edge of 0.8 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 66°F.
• 2 Current weather forecasts support the NO position.
• 3 Historical data shows low temperatures for this time of year.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with minimal fluctuations.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.