Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 9?

High confidence in NYC reaching 66°F or higher on March 9.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability that New York City's temperature will be 66°F or higher on March 9. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 99%, suggesting strong consensus among participants. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -0.95, indicating minimal room for adjustment.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly positive for higher temperatures.
• 2 Historical weather data supports the likelihood of reaching 66°F in early March.
• 3 Market liquidity is stable, reflecting confidence in the prediction.
• 4 Time pressure is not a factor as the expiry date is unknown.
• 5 The edge of -0.95 suggests the market is accurately priced.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.