Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 30?

High probability for NYC temperature to reach 68°F or higher on March 30.

The market shows a strong belief that New York City's temperature will be 68°F or higher on March 30, with an 89.5% probability for 'YES'. The AI model aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a general consensus on the expected weather conditions.

• 1 Market probability is high at 89.5%, suggesting strong confidence.
• 2 AI probability closely matches market sentiment at 86.5%.
• 3 The edge of -3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding to the unpredictability of the forecast.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.