Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on March 17?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 32-33°F in NYC on March 17.

Current market probability indicates a high likelihood that the temperature in New York City will not fall between 32-33°F on March 17, with a consensus of 99.7% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly lower confidence level, suggesting that while the market is fairly priced, there remains a small chance of an unexpected temperature rise.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.7%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market, indicating low confidence in 'YES'.
• 3 The edge of 0.7 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 reflects moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 15 hours, increasing urgency for potential updates.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.