Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on March 18?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 32-33°F in NYC on March 18.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that temperatures will not fall within the 32-33°F range on March 18 in New York City. The Pulse AI also indicates a low probability of 1% for YES, suggesting alignment with market sentiment. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market, showing 99% for NO.
• 3 Edge of 0.95 suggests market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 80/100, indicating strong belief in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.