Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 18?

High confidence that NYC's temperature will be between 36-37°F on March 18.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief, with a 99.4% probability, that the highest temperature in New York City will fall between 36-37°F on March 18. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 99%, suggesting a well-informed consensus among participants. The market is considered fairly priced with a slight edge of -0.4.

• 1 Market probability shows overwhelming confidence in a specific temperature range.
• 2 Pulse AI closely aligns with market sentiment, reinforcing the prediction.
• 3 Current edge indicates the market is fairly priced with minimal discrepancy.
• 4 High confidence score suggests strong participant conviction.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.