Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 19?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 36-37°F in NYC on March 19.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in New York City will not be between 36-37°F on March 19. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, with a slight chance of a YES outcome. This suggests a consensus that temperatures will likely remain outside this range.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong NO sentiment at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market at 99% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 85/100, indicating strong conviction in the NO outcome.
• 4 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced with no significant mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.