Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 13?

The market strongly favors temperatures outside the 38-39°F range for NYC on March 13.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures between 38-39°F, the consensus is that this range will not be reached. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, indicating a very low chance of occurrence.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures in the specified range.
• 2 The market appears to be fairly priced with a low edge of 1.
• 3 Confidence in the NO prediction is high at 90 out of 100.
• 4 Market liquidity may be limited given the strong consensus.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which could affect the volatility of predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.