Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 7?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 38-39°F in NYC on March 7.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in New York City will not fall between 38-39°F on March 7. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 99% probability for the 'NO' outcome, suggesting a strong consensus against this temperature range occurring.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against temperatures in the specified range.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of change.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, suggesting some uncertainty remains.
• 4 No imminent events expected to shift temperature predictions significantly.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with minimal edge indicated.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.