Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 18?

The market strongly favors temperatures not being between 40-41°F in NYC on March 18.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.3% for temperatures not falling within the 40-41°F range in New York City on March 18. In contrast, the Pulse AI indicates a much lower likelihood of 2.2% for this temperature range, suggesting a significant divergence in expectations. The edge of 1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current sentiment and data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures outside 40-41°F.
• 2 The Pulse AI probability suggests a much lower chance of the event occurring.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates a balanced market pricing.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.