Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 18?

The market strongly favors temperatures outside the 42-43°F range on March 18 in NYC.

With a market probability of 99.85% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not fall between 42-43°F. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating a low likelihood of this temperature range being reached. The confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures outside the specified range.
• 2 The high NO probability suggests strong confidence in the forecasted weather.
• 3 Historical data may support the current predictions for March temperatures.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.85.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to last-minute weather changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.