Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 19?

Market favors temperatures outside 42-43°F in NYC on March 19.

The prediction market indicates a higher likelihood for temperatures to be outside the 42-43°F range, with a 61% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a slight edge towards lower temperatures than predicted.

• 1 Market probability shows a clear preference for temperatures outside the specified range.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly more optimistic for YES than the market.
• 3 The edge of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 4 Confidence level of 60 indicates moderate certainty in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.