Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 21?

The market strongly favors that NYC's temperature will not be between 42-43°F on March 21.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in New York City will not fall within the 42-43°F range on March 21. The Pulse AI also reflects a strong consensus against this outcome, with a 99% probability of a NO result. Given the confidence level of 65/100, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors a NO outcome at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 2 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.