Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 28?

Market shows a close probability for NYC's temperature on March 28.

The prediction market indicates a slightly higher probability for temperatures between 42-43°F in New York City on March 28, with a market probability of 55.50% for 'YES'. The Pulse AI probability is slightly lower at 52.5%, suggesting a consensus that the outcome is uncertain and closely contested.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans slightly towards temperatures in the specified range.
• 2 The probabilities are closely matched, indicating uncertainty among participants.
• 3 Historical temperature data for late March may influence expectations.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, allowing for reasonable trading activity.
• 5 Time pressure is critical as the event is imminent with 0 hours to expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.