Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 15?

The market favors temperatures outside the 44-45°F range for NYC on March 15.

With a market probability of 69% for NO, there is a strong consensus against the highest temperature being between 44-45°F. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment with a 66% probability for NO, indicating alignment between market participants and AI predictions. The confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in these outcomes.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards NO.
• 2 The probability gap indicates a consensus against the specified temperature range.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the predictions.
• 5 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the current probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.