Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 17?

The market strongly favors temperatures outside the 44-45°F range for NYC on March 17.

With a market probability of 98.2% for NO, participants largely expect the highest temperature in New York City to fall outside the 44-45°F range on March 17. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a consensus against the specified temperature range. The confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 44°F or above 45°F.
• 2 The market appears fairly priced with a small edge of 0.5.
• 3 Confidence in the prediction is moderate at 65 out of 100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 17 hours remaining for potential shifts.
• 5 Historical weather data may support the current market expectations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.