Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 21?

The market predicts no chance of NYC reaching 44-45°F on March 21.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong consensus against the highest temperature in New York City reaching 44-45°F on March 21, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this assessment, suggesting minimal uncertainty in the forecast. Confidence levels are moderate, indicating some room for unexpected weather changes.

• 1 Market shows a definitive NO sentiment at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI reflects a similar outlook with 99% NO probability.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, only 1 hour remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.