Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 25?

The market strongly favors temperatures outside the 44-45°F range for NYC on March 25.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in New York City will not fall between 44-45°F on March 25. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a 99% probability for the NO outcome. This suggests a strong consensus against the possibility of temperatures within that range.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong consensus against temperatures in the specified range.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of a temperature within 44-45°F.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 90/100, suggesting strong conviction in the NO outcome.
• 4 The edge of 1 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current information.
• 5 No time to expiry is noted, which may affect the urgency of market adjustments.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.