Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 7?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 44-45°F in NYC on March 7.

With a market probability of 0% for YES and 100% for NO, the consensus is that the highest temperature will not fall within the specified range. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 1% probability for YES and 99% for NO, indicating strong confidence in the NO outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 44-45°F.
• 2 The market appears to be fairly priced with an edge score of 1.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 The time to expiry for this market is currently unknown.
• 5 Historical weather patterns may support the current predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.