Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 17?

The market strongly favors temperatures outside the 46-47°F range for NYC on March 17.

Current market probabilities indicate a 96.2% likelihood that the highest temperature in New York City will not fall between 46-47°F on March 17. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher estimate of 5.8% for a YES outcome. With a confidence level of 60/100 and only 16 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows strong NO sentiment at 96.2%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 5.8%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Only 16 hours remain until the market expires.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.