Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 8?

The market strongly favors that NYC's temperature will not be between 46-47°F on March 8.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in New York City will not fall within the 46-47°F range on March 8. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal uncertainty in the forecast. The confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate assurance in this prediction.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against the temperature range.
• 2 Pulse AI reflects a similar outlook with minimal divergence.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 No recent events indicate a shift in expected weather conditions.
• 5 Market pricing appears balanced with a slight edge.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.