Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 15?

The market favors temperatures outside the 48-49°F range for NYC on March 15.

With a market probability of 83.5% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not fall between 48-49°F. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, suggesting a slight increase in the likelihood of 'YES' but still indicating a low chance overall.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors temperatures outside the specified range.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight increase in 'YES' probability compared to market.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which could affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.