Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 17?

The market favors temperatures outside the 48-49°F range for NYC on March 17.

With a market probability of 67.5% for NO, participants largely expect temperatures to fall outside the 48-49°F range. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a consensus that temperatures will likely be lower than anticipated. Confidence is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty remains as the expiry approaches.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards temperatures outside the specified range.
• 2 The market appears fairly priced with a small edge of 3.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate, indicating some uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 17 hours, increasing urgency for updates.
• 5 Pulse AI probability shows a slight divergence from market consensus.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.