Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 20?

The market strongly favors temperatures outside the 48-49°F range for NYC on March 20.

With a market probability of 97.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus against the highest temperature being between 48-49°F. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit slightly higher for 'YES'. This indicates that while the market is fairly priced, there is limited confidence in the possibility of temperatures falling within the specified range.

• 1 Market shows a strong preference for temperatures outside the target range.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher likelihood for 'YES' than the market.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 2 hours, adding urgency to the predictions.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.