Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 21?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 50-51°F in NYC on March 21.

With a market probability of 99.85% for 'NO', it suggests a strong consensus against temperatures being between 50-51°F. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, indicating low likelihood for this temperature range. The confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.85%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 99%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 2 hours remaining.
• 5 Edge of 0.85 suggests market is fairly priced.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.