Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 24?

Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 50-51°F in NYC on March 24.

The prediction market indicates a 99.75% probability that the highest temperature in New York City will not fall between 50-51°F on March 24. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a very low likelihood of this temperature range being reached. With a confidence level of 65/100, the market appears to be fairly priced with minimal edge.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 50°F.
• 2 Historical weather data may support the low probability of reaching this temperature range.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in current predictions.
• 4 The time to expiry is unknown, which could affect market dynamics.
• 5 The edge of 0.75 suggests the market is well-aligned with the AI's assessment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.