Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 27?

The market predicts no chance of NYC reaching 50-51°F on March 27.

Current market sentiment strongly favors a temperature outside the 50-51°F range for New York City on March 27, with a 100% probability of 'NO.' The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this assessment, indicating a very low likelihood of the temperature falling within the specified range.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors 'NO' at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is 99% for 'NO', indicating consensus.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, only 2 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.