Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 29?

The market favors temperatures outside the 52-53°F range for NYC on March 29.

Currently, the market shows a 65% probability for temperatures not falling between 52-53°F in New York City on March 29. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a slightly higher probability for 'NO' outcomes. With only 3 hours until expiry and a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability leans towards 'NO' at 65%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly more optimistic for 'YES' at 38%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, only 3 hours remaining.
• 5 Market edge indicates fair pricing with a 3-point difference.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.