Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 12?

The market strongly favors temperatures outside the 54-55°F range in NYC on March 12.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in New York City will not fall between 54-55°F on March 12. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, with a 99% probability for 'NO'. This suggests a consensus that temperatures will likely be outside this narrow range.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against temperatures in the specified range.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating confidence in predictions.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 65/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 1 indicates the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding an element of unpredictability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.