Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 20?

Market favors a NO outcome for NYC's temperature on March 20.

The prediction market indicates a 68.5% probability that the highest temperature in New York City will not fall between 54-55°F on March 20. This is supported by a lower AI probability of 65.5%, suggesting a consensus against this temperature range. With only 3 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market probability favors a NO outcome at 68.5%.
• 2 AI model suggests a slightly lower NO probability at 65.5%.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 60 out of 100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 3 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.