Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 22?

The market predicts a low chance of NYC temperatures hitting 54-55°F on March 22.

The current market probability indicates an 87.5% likelihood that the highest temperature in New York City will not fall between 54-55°F on March 22. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 52 hours, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge towards the NO outcome.

• 1 Market probability favors NO at 87.5%, indicating low confidence in reaching the temperature range.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market, suggesting consensus on the NO outcome.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced with little room for mispricing.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate uncertainty in the prediction.
• 5 With 52 hours until expiry, time pressure could influence last-minute adjustments in forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.