Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 23?

Market strongly favors temperatures outside 54-55°F in NYC on March 23.

The prediction market indicates a high probability (99.25%) that the highest temperature in New York City will not fall between 54-55°F on March 23. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a lower probability of 2.25% for a YES outcome. With only 4 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60/100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap suggests strong confidence in the NO position.
• 3 Historical weather patterns may influence current predictions.
• 4 Market liquidity is stable, allowing for efficient price adjustments.
• 5 Time pressure is increasing as the expiry approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.