Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?

Market favors temperatures outside the 56-57°F range for NYC on March 22.

The prediction market indicates an 80.5% likelihood that the highest temperature in New York City will not fall between 56-57°F on March 22. With a market probability of 19.5% for 'YES' and a Pulse AI probability of 21% for the same outcome, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge towards 'NO'. The confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100, suggesting some uncertainty in the forecast.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures outside the specified range.
• 2 The market probability shows a clear preference for 'NO' at 80.5%.
• 3 Pulse AI's prediction aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating consensus.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 47 hours, adding urgency to any potential shifts in forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.