Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 23?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 56-57°F in NYC on March 23.

With a market probability of 99.8% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus against temperatures falling between 56-57°F. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a probability of 98.3% for 'NO', indicating a high level of confidence in this prediction. The edge of 1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures in the specified range.
• 2 The confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 3 Time to expiry is short, with only 4 hours remaining.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly balanced.
• 5 Pulse AI probabilities align closely with market expectations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.