Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 22?

The market favors temperatures outside the 58-59°F range for NYC on March 22.

With a market probability of 84% for 'NO', the consensus indicates a strong expectation that temperatures will not fall within the specified range. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting a slight overestimation of the likelihood for 'YES'.

• 1 Market sentiment strongly favors temperatures outside 58-59°F.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest a well-balanced market with minimal edge.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 47 hours, increasing urgency for updates.
• 5 Pulse AI shows a slight divergence from market consensus, indicating potential for adjustment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.