Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 58-59°F in NYC on March 30.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that the highest temperature in New York City will not fall between 58-59°F on March 30. The low probability assigned to a YES outcome suggests a strong consensus against this temperature range occurring. The confidence level of 85/100 indicates a high degree of certainty in the market's assessment.

• 1 Market probability shows a clear NO at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market, showing 99% NO.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 85/100, indicating strong market conviction.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is currently unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.