Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 20?

The market strongly favors temperatures outside the 60-61°F range in NYC on March 20.

Current market probabilities indicate a high likelihood that the highest temperature in New York City will not fall between 60-61°F on March 20, with a consensus of 98.85% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, although with slightly higher probabilities for 'YES'.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against the 60-61°F range.
• 2 High confidence level suggests stability in current predictions.
• 3 Low liquidity may impact market responsiveness to new information.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential for significant shifts.
• 5 Historical weather patterns in March may inform current expectations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.