Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 31?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 60-61°F in NYC on March 31.

With a market probability of 99.85% for 'NO', it indicates a strong consensus against temperatures being between 60-61°F. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of the event occurring. Given the confidence level of 65/100, there is moderate uncertainty, but overall, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 60°F.
• 2 High liquidity suggests strong participant confidence in the 'NO' outcome.
• 3 Historical weather data shows low likelihood of reaching this temperature range in late March.
• 4 The time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential shifts in forecasts.
• 5 Market pricing indicates a balanced view, with minimal edge for either side.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.