Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures outside the 64-65°F range in NYC on March 30.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not fall between 64-65°F. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of temperatures reaching that range. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures outside the specified range.
• 2 The high NO probability indicates strong confidence in the forecast.
• 3 Market pricing suggests minimal risk of a temperature within the 64-65°F range.
• 4 The confidence score of 80/100 reflects a solid consensus among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, which could affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.