Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 9?

The market strongly favors that NYC's temperature will not be between 64-65°F on March 9.

The current market probability indicates a 100% expectation that the highest temperature in New York City will not fall within the 64-65°F range on March 9. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, which suggests a minimal chance of 1% for this temperature range. The confidence level of 85/100 indicates a strong belief in this outcome, though the time to expiry is unknown.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against temperatures in the specified range.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a very low probability of 1% for the YES outcome.
• 3 Confidence level of 85 indicates strong conviction in the NO outcome.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry remains uncertain, which could affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.