Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 31?

The market strongly favors temperatures outside the 66-67°F range for NYC on March 31.

With a market probability of 99.5% for 'NO', participants overwhelmingly expect temperatures to fall outside the 66-67°F range. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 97.5% probability for 'NO'. Given the time to expiry is only 16 hours, the current pricing appears to be fairly aligned with expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures not reaching 66-67°F.
• 2 The market is highly liquid, indicating strong participant engagement.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 The time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential shifts.
• 5 Historical weather patterns may influence future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.